Market Overview by FXCC Aug 31 2012 ECB bond buying plan unlikely to be fully unveiled at the Sep ECB meeting - TDS With summer drawing to a close, "it's time to see if the monetary weapons will be revealed", says Rich Kelly, research analyst at TDS. "Disappointment at some stage along the way is a real possibility and we eventually expect the ECB’s new bond buying plan to satisfy the market, but it is unlikely to be fully unveiled at the September ECB ...
Market Overview by FXCC Aug 30 2012 Iron ore collapse has huge implications for the Australian economy - Macquarie Group The tumbling iron ore price has the Aussie bulls on the edge after Iron ore fell nearly 5% overnight to $90.30 a tonne, down now 23% since the end of July. If commodity prices do not recover, Senior Economist at Macquarie Brian Redican sees A$10 billion of cuts would be needed for the Australian Government to achieve a 2013 surplus. ...
Market Overview by FXCC Aug 29 2012 ECB has no choice but buy periphery gvrt debt - Nomura ECB purchases of periphery debt would be effective in ending a dysfunctional government bond marke, says Nomura economist Richard Koo. "While longer-term answers to this eurozone-specific problem include fiscal stimulus to tackle the balance sheet recession itself and a rule that addresses the issue of capital flight by restraining, given that both of those measures will ...
Market Overview by FXCC Aug 28 2012 Fed to deliver further stimulus - JPM JPM is quite dovish on the next Fed policy tools to deploy, expecting Ben Bernanke & Co. to provide additional stimulus to the economy by extending the rate-on-hold guidance out to mid-2015 and increasing asset purchases. The bank expects medium-term US paper getting a better bid tone ahead of the Sept 12-13 FOMC meeting. A more marked move will come via real yields as investors bet on higher ...
Market Overview by FXCC Aug 27 2012 Fed’s Jackson Hole conference key event this week - BNZ The Fed’s Jackson Hole conference, due on Friday, is the event of the week. According to Mike Jones, currency strategist at Bank of New Zealand, "some of the market impact of Bernanke’s speech has been nullified by last week’s dovish Fed minutes." The analyst adds: "The speech is expected to be used to map out the policy (easing) options facing the Fed. If this ...